Irving, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

737
FXUS64 KFWD 142335
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
635 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

...New Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered showers and storms may produce locally heavy rain
  this evening.

- Isolated storms are expected again on Tuesday, followed by
  hotter temperatures and little to no rain the rest of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1200 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025/
/Through Tuesday/

Scattered showers across North Texas continue to dwindle, with
most of this activity primarily tied to an MCV currently centered
over northern parts of the Metroplex. The activity across Central
Texas this morning has since dissipated, but another round of
scattered showers and storms may develop across these areas this
afternoon, tied to a second MCV centered over the Hill Country.
Weak instability and little opportunity to destabilize should keep
any activity across North Texas rather tame. However, the 12Z FWD
upper air sounding measured a PW of 2.15", which is well above
the climatological 90th percentile of 1.85". The anomalous
moisture will continue to support the potential for locally heavy
rain, but fortunately, rainfall rates have been quite lower than
we`ve seen in recent days. Further south across Central Texas,
breaks in cloud cover is allowing for modest destabilization.
As a result, a few robust storms with gusty winds and small hail
can`t be ruled out later this afternoon, but severe weather will
be quite unlikely given the lack of shear. Locally heavy rainfall
will continue to be the main concern with any of this activity.
Isolated to widely scattered showers and storms are expected to
linger into the evening, primarily across Central Texas and
eastern North Texas. Most areas will likely see a brief lull in
rain chances late tonight, but some isolated convection will have
the potential to linger through the entire overnight period.

We`ll remain beneath weak upper level troughing on Tuesday,
though an upper level ridge across the Deep South will attempt to
build further west into portions of eastern North and Central
Texas. The weak troughing will bring additional chances for
showers and storms to the region on Tuesday, but the best chances
will be confined to North Texas and areas west of I-35 in Central
Texas. Locally heavy rainfall will be the main concern with any
of this activity.

Barnes

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 1200 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025/
/Tuesday Night Onward/

An upper level ridge will continue to build into the region
through the remainder of the period, effectively shutting off rain
chances for most of the area. The main exception will be portions
of Southeast Texas and the Brazos Valley where we could see some
seabreeze activity Friday and Saturday. Otherwise, temperatures
will be on a warming trend, with highs in the mid to upper 90s
expected for most of the region by this weekend. Heat index values
will be in the triple digits, so ensure you`re taking extra
precautions to stay safe in the heat.

Barnes

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/00Z TAFs/

VFR conditions will continue at D10 airports this TAF period with
scattered low and mid level clouds. Chance for any showers or
thunderstorms near the airports appears too low to mention
VCSH/VCTS. For ACT, VFR conditions with VCSH are expected this
evening with dry conditions overnight. Added mention of tempo MVFR
cigs from 12-15Z at ACT as model guidance is in fairly good
agreement on this potential. South winds up to 10 knots are
expected tonight, increasing tomorrow up to 15 knots with gusts
over 20 knots at times.

Shamburger

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    76  93  75  94  76 /  20  20   0   5   0
Waco                73  91  73  92  72 /  30  20   0   0   0
Paris               73  91  73  92  73 /  20  20   5   5   0
Denton              74  94  75  95  75 /  20  20   0   5   0
McKinney            75  93  74  94  75 /  20  20   0   5   0
Dallas              76  93  75  95  76 /  20  20   0   5   0
Terrell             73  93  73  94  74 /  20  20   0   5   0
Corsicana           75  94  75  95  75 /  20  10   0   0   0
Temple              73  92  73  93  72 /  30  20   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       73  93  74  94  73 /  10  20   5   5   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$